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| Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) |
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Definition of Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT)An alternative model to the capital asset pricing model developed byStephen Ross and based purely on arbitrage arguments. Related Terms:Administrative pricing rulesIRS rules used to allocate income on export sales to a foreign sales corporation.Agency theoryThe analysis of principal-agent relationships, wherein one person, an agent, acts on behalf ofanther person, a principal. ArbitrageThe simultaneous buying and selling of a security at two different prices in two different markets,resulting in profits without risk. Perfectly efficient markets present no arbitrage opportunities. Perfectly efficient markets seldom exist. Arbitrage-free option-pricing modelsYield curve option-pricing models.ArbitrageursPeople who search for and exploit arbitrage opportunities.Asset pricing modelA model for determining the required rate of return on an asset.Asset pricing modelA model, such as the Capital Asset pricing Model (CAPM), that determines the requiredrate of return on a particular asset. Binomial option pricing modelAn option pricing model in which the underlying asset can take on only twopossible, discrete values in the next time period for each value that it can take on in the preceding time period. Black-Scholes option-pricing modelA model for pricing call options based on arbitrage arguments that usesthe stock price, the exercise price, the risk-free interest rate, the time to expiration, and the standard deviation of the stock return. Bubble theorySecurity prices sometimes move wildly above their true values.Call swaptionA swaption in which the buyer has the right to enter into a swap as a fixed-rate payer. Thewriter therefore becomes the fixed-rate receiver/floating rate payer. Capital asset pricing model (CAPM)An economic theory that describes the relationship between risk andexpected return, and serves as a model for the pricing of risky securities. The CAPM asserts that the only risk that is priced by rational investors is systematic risk, because that risk cannot be eliminated by diversification. The CAPM says that the expected return of a security or a portfolio is equal to the rate on a risk-free security plus a risk premium. Covered interest arbitrageA portfolio manager invests dollars in an instrument denominated in a foreigncurrency and hedges his resulting foreign exchange risk by selling the proceeds of the investment forward for dollars. Currency arbitrageTaking advantage of divergences in exchange rates in different money markets bybuying a currency in one market and selling it in another market. Garmen-Kohlhagen option pricing modelA widely used model for pricing foreign currency options.Index arbitrageAn investment/trading strategy that exploits divergences between actual and theoreticalfutures prices. Liquidity theory of the term structureA biased expectations theory that asserts that the implied forwardrates will not be a pure estimate of the market's expectations of future interest rates because they embody a liquidity premium. Local expectations theoryA form of the pure expectations theory which suggests that the returns on bondsof different maturities will be the same over a short-term investment horizon. Market segmentation theory or preferred habitat theoryA biased expectations theory that asserts that theshape of the yield curve is determined by the supply of and demand for securities within each maturity sector. Modern portfolio theoryPrinciples underlying the analysis and evaluation of rational portfolio choicesbased on risk-return trade-offs and efficient diversification. Normal backwardation theoryHolds that the futures price will be bid down to a level below the expectedspot price. One-factor APTA special case of the arbitrage pricing theory that is derived from the one-factor model byusing diversification and arbitrage. It shows the expected return on any risky asset is a linear function of a single factor. Preferred habitat theoryA biased expectations theory that believes the term structure reflects theexpectation of the future path of interest rates as well as risk premium. However, the theory rejects the assertion that the risk premium must rise uniformly with maturity. Instead, to the extent that the demand for and supply of funds does not match for a given maturity range, some participants will shift to maturities showing the opposite imbalances. As long as such investors are compensated by an appropriate risk premium whose magnitude will reflect the extent of aversion to either price or reinvestment risk. Pricing efficiencyAlso called external efficiency, a market characteristic where prices at all times fullyreflect all available information that is relevant to the valuation of securities. Pure expectations theoryA theory that asserts that the forward rates exclusively represent the expectedfuture rates. In other words, the entire term structure reflects the markets expectations of future short-term rates. For example, an increasing sloping term structure implies increasing short-term interest rates. Related: biased expectations theories Put swaptionA financial tool in which the buyer has the right, or option, to enter into a swap as a floatingratepayer. The writer of the swaption therefore becomes the floating-rate receiver/fixed-rate payer. Regulatory pricing riskRisk that arises when regulators restrict the premium rates that insurance companiescan charge. Risk arbitrageSpeculation on perceived mispriced securities, usually in connection with merger andacquisition deals. Mike Donatelli, John Demasi, Frank Cohane, and Scott Lewis are all hardcore arbs. They had a huge BT/MCI position in the summer of 1997, and came out smelling like roses. Risk controlled arbitrageA self-funding, self-hedged series of transactions that generally utilize mortgagesecurities as the primary assets. Riskless arbitrageThe simultaneous purchase and sale of the same asset to yield a profit.Static theory of capital structuretheory that the firm's capital structure is determined by a trade-off of thevalue of tax shields against the costs of bankruptcy. Structured arbitrage transactionA self-funding, self-hedged series of transactions that usually utilizemortgage securities as the primary assets. SwaptionOptions on interest rate swaps. The buyer of a swaption has the right to enter into an interest rateswap agreement by some specified date in the future. The swaption agreement will specify whether the buyer of the swaption will be a fixed-rate receiver or a fixed-rate payer. The writer of the swaption becomes the counterparty to the swap if the buyer exercises. Triangular arbitrageStriking offsetting deals among three markets simultaneously to obtain an arbitrage profit.Two-state option pricing modelAn option pricing model in which the underlying asset can take on only twopossible (discrete) values in the next time period for each value it can take on in the preceding time period. Also called the binomial option pricing model. UnderpricingIssue of securities below their market value.Yield curve option-pricing modelsModels that can incorporate different volatility assumptions along theyield curve, such as the Black-Derman-Toy model. Also called arbitrage-free option-pricing models. Cost-plus pricingA method of pricing in which a mark-up is added to the total product/service cost.Target rate of return pricingA method of pricing that estimates the desired return on investment to be achieved from thefixed and working capital investment and includes that return in the price of a product/service. Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM)A model for estimating equilibrium rates of return and values ofassets in financial markets; uses beta as a measure of asset risk relative to market risk dual pricing arrangementa transfer pricing system that allowsa selling division to record the transfer of goods or services at one price (e.g., a market or negotiated market price) and a buying division to record the transfer at another price (e.g., a cost-based amount) theory of constraints (TOC)a method of analyzing the bottlenecks(constraints) that keep a system from achieving higher performance; it states that production cannot take place at a rate faster than the slowest machine or person in the process ArbitrageThe purchase of securities on one market for immediate resale onanother market in order to profit from a price or currency discrepancy. SwaptionA swap option; an option on an interest-rate swap. The option givesthe holder the right to enter into a contracted interest-rate swap at a specified future date. See Swap. capital asset pricing model (CAPM)theory of the relationship between risk and return which states that the expected riskpremium on any security equals its beta times the market risk premium. expectations theory of exchange ratestheory that expected spot exchange rate equals the forward rate.pecking order theoryFirms prefer to issue debt rather than equity if internal finance is insufficient.random walk theorySecurity prices change randomly, with no predictable trends or patterns.trade-off theoryDebt levels are chosen to balance interest tax shields against the costs of financial distress.underpricingIssuing securities at an offering price set below the true value of the security.ArbitrageTransactions designed to make a sure profit from inconsistent prices.Quantity Theory of Moneytheory that velocity is constant, and so a change in money supply will change nominal income by the same percentage. Formalized by the equation Mv = PQ.Real Business Cycle TheoryBelief that business cycles arise from real shocks to the economy, such as technology advances and natural resource discoveries, and have little to do with monetary policy.Captive AgentA licensed insurance agent who sells insurance for only one company.Related to : financial, finance, business, accounting, payroll, inventory, investment, money, inventory control, stock trading, financial advisor, tax advisor, credit. |