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Definition of Probability
The relative likelihood of a particular outcome among all possible outcomes.
The probability of not achieving a portfolio expected return.
A function that shows the probability that the random variable will
A probability distribution for a continuous random variable that is forms a
The probability function for a continuous random variable.
Also called a probability function, a function that describes all the values that the random variable can
A list of all possible outcomes and the chance of each outcome
a range of possible values for which each value has an assigned likelihood of occurrence
A function that assigns a probability to each and every possible outcome.
One who uses statistical information to evaluate the probability of future events and prices insurance products.
A method of pricing options or other equity derivatives in
Refers to the fact that the merger of two firms decreases the probability of default on
A statistical process that links the probability of default to a specified set of financial ratios.
The return expected on a risky asset based on a probability distribution for the possible rates
The weighted average of a probability distribution.
This refers to the practice of some life insurance companies to offer policies which are lower in price because they have assumed a high probability that the policies will be cashed in by their owners for one reason or another before the death benefit becomes available. It is a bold and risky offer by the insurance company because sometimes the purchasers of these policies simply don't lapse them.
Monte Carlo simulation
An analytical technique for solving a problem by performing a large number of trail
These are statistical tables used by life insurance companies showing the probability of disease of male and females at all ages.
Tables of probability that individuals of various ages will die within one year.
This is a statistical table used by life insurance companies showing the probability of death of male and females at all ages.
Normal random variable
A random variable that has a normal probability distribution.
escribes the lagged collection pattern of receivables, for instance the probability that a
Theory that stock price changes from day to day are at random; the changes are independent
A state in which the number of possible future events exceeds the number of events that will actually occur, and some measure of probability can be attached to them.
A probability used to determine a "sure" expected value (sometimes called a
probability distribution in which an unequal number of observations lie below and
Involving or containing a random variable or variables; involving
1) The difference between the average price in Treasury auctions and the stopout price.
total expected value (for a project)
the sum of the individual cash flows in a probability distribution multiplied by their related probabilities
A contra- or reduction account to deferred tax assets.
Value-at-Risk model (VAR)
Procedure for estimating the probability of portfolio losses exceeding some
The probability of change
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